文章参考国际研究并根据我国实践归纳了不同转型举措中存在的风险要素，确立了40项风险因素。通过对图书馆从业人员的调查，运用因子分析法，完成对风险因素的筛选，最终确立6大类29项风险要素。风险也是不断变化发展的，文章根据图书馆业态环境变化，提出了图书馆转型风险的演化设想。

This paper uses the international researches for reference, and summarizes the risk indicators in different transformation initiatives, then establishes 40 risk indicators. Through the investigation of the practitioners in library field and using the method of factor analysis, the screening of risk indicators is completed, and 6 major categories of 29 risk indicators are finally established. Risk is also changing and developing. According to the change of types of library operation, this paper puts forward the evolution assumption of risks in library Transformation.