文章以国内外文献调研为基础，就学术论文被引影响因素和预测方法研究进行了梳理与综述。结果表明，学术论文被引影响因素主要是作者、期刊、论文和替代计量相关因素；预测方法主要是基于回归分析、分类问题、引文网络的被引预测，并且指出了传统计量数据、替代计量数据与网络学术文本综合分析，细粒度定义分类预测方法的主要发展方向，最后对科研论文写作如何提高被引与引用评价研究进行展望。

Based on the literature retrieval and analysis, this paper makes a review of the influencing factors and the prediction methods of academic papers citation.The results show that authors, journal, paper and Altmetrics are the main influencing factors of the citation frequency of academic papers; the prediction methods are mainly based on regression analysis, classification problems, citation prediction of citation networks, and point out the main development direction of the comprehensive analysis of traditional literature measurement factors,the Altmetrics data and online academic text, fine-grained definition classification prediction method. Finally, this paper prospects the research on how to improve the citation of scientific paper and citation evaluation.