[Purpose/significance] This paper critically questions and reflects on information forecasting, aiming to deepen the understanding of its characteristics and limitations and promote its sound development. [Method/process]The paper first analyzes the internal logic and theoretical presuppositions of information forecasting, examines its theo⁃retical foundations and questions the rationality of these foundations, and finally proposes the feasible approaches of in⁃formation forecasting. [Result/conclusion] The internal logic of information forecasting is "predicting events based on historical patterns", i.e., inferring the unknown from the known and speculating about the future based on the past and present states of things. This internal logic relies on a fundamental theoretical presupposition: the development of things is governed by social laws, which can be identified through analyzing information about their past and present states, and thus the future of things can be inferred from these laws. However, the theoretical foundations supporting the
internal logic and theoretical presuppositions of information forecasting—namely, the theory of future causality and the principle of continuity—both contain obvious logical flaws and lack internal logical consistency. Therefore, information forecasting should be conducted with foreknowledge as its purpose, indicator monitoring as its method, and information assessment as its core content.