实践研究

公共阅读空间动态发展模式研究——基于随机时滞演化博弈视角

  • 王艺 ,
  • 李小龙 ,
  • 杨鹭 ,
  • 朱梦蝶 ,
  • 杨海平
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  • (1南京大学信息管理学院,江苏,210023; 2厦门大学经济学院,福建,361005)
王艺,男,2001 年生,南京大学信息管理学院博士研究生。 李小龙,男,2000年生,厦门大学经济学院硕士研究生。 杨鹭,女,2001年生,南京大学信息管理学院硕士研究生。 朱梦蝶,女,1998年生,南京大学信息管理学院博士研究生(通讯作者)。 杨海平,男,1967 年生,南京大学信息管理学院教授,博士生导师。

网络出版日期: 2025-11-20

Research on the Dynamic Development Model of Public Reading Spaces: From the Perspective of Stochastic Time-Delay Evolutionary Game

  • Wang Yi ,
  • Li Xiaolong ,
  • Yang Lu ,
  • Zhu Mengdie ,
  • Yang Haiping
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  • (1School of Information Management, Nanjing University, Jiangsu, 210023;2School of Economics, Xiamen University, Fujian, 361005)

Online published: 2025-11-20

摘要

[目的/意义]分析公共阅读空间动态发展的演化博弈规律,明晰其构建机制和策略,推动公共阅读空间高质量发展。[方法/过程]立足演化博弈理论和动态发展视角,考虑随机过程与时滞因素影响,将政府、多元建设主体和读者作为利益相关方展开仿真分析,建立三方演化博弈模型,分析公共阅读空间的动态发展模式。[结果/结论]公共阅读空间存在五种不同的动态发展模式;提高读者能力长期增值收益并不能使整个博弈系统发生实质性变化,而提高能力基准收益或同时提高读者短期收益和长期收益有助于系统演化至高质量建设内涵式管理模式(理想模式);减少多元建设主体变动成本、提高传播声誉收益和深度资源倾斜收益均能使系统演化至理想模式;提高低质量建设罚金或产业质量发展收益以及两者同时提升均能使系统扭转至理想模式;公共文化服务供给技术融合水平能通过加速利益与传播累积速率正向影响演化系统向好演化速率。

本文引用格式

王艺 , 李小龙 , 杨鹭 , 朱梦蝶 , 杨海平 . 公共阅读空间动态发展模式研究——基于随机时滞演化博弈视角[J]. 情报资料工作, 2025 , 46(6) : 96 -108 . DOI: 10.12154/j.qbzlgz.2025.06.010

Abstract

[Purpose/significance] This study aims to analyze the evolutionary game dynamics governing the dynamic development of public reading spaces, clarify the construction mechanisms and strategies for such spaces, and promote the high-quality development of public reading space. [Method/process] Grounded in evolutionary game theory and a dynamic development perspective, this study incorporates stochastic processes and time delay factors, simulates inter⁃actions among key stakeholders (government, multiple construction subjects, and readers), constructs a tripartite evolu⁃tionary game model, and analyzes the dynamic development mode of the public reading space. [Result/conclusion] The evolutionary game model identifies five distinct dynamic development models within public reading spaces. En⁃hancing the long-term value-added benefits of readers′ capabilities does not significantly alter the entire game system.However, increasing benchmark benefits or simultaneously enhancing short-term and long-term reader benefits facili⁃tates the system′s evolution toward a high-quality construction and connotative management model (the ideal model).Reducing variable costs for multiple construction subjects, increasing reputation dissemination benefits, and deepen⁃ing resource inclination all enable the system to evolve into the ideal model. Increasing penalties for low-quality con⁃struction or boosting industrial quality development benefits, either individually or in combination, can reverse the sys⁃tem toward the ideal model. Additionally, the integration level of public cultural service supply technology positively in⁃fluences the rate of positive evolution by accelerating benefit accumulation and dissemination.
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