硕博之声

“数据要素×”效应下应急情报服务关键影响因素识别与关联分析

  • 王羽西 ,
  • 史云贵 ,
  • 于兴尚 ,
  • 徐中阳
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  • 1四川大学公共管理学院成都610065;2 浙江财经大学公共管理学院杭州310018;3南京大学信息管理学院江苏210023;4 南京大学数据智能与交叉创新实验室江苏210023)
王羽西,女,1995年生,四川大学公共管理学院博士研究生。 史云贵,男,1970年生,浙江财经大学公共管理学院教授,博士生导师。 于兴尚,男,1988年生,四川大学公共管理学院博士研究生。 徐中阳,男,1993年生,南京大学信息管理学院博士后。

网络出版日期: 2026-05-15

基金资助

本文系国家社会科学基金重大项目“复杂信息环境下的数据要素流通政策仿真与评价监测研究”(批准号:24&ZD190)、四川大学中央高校基本科研业务费研究专项资助项目“重大突发公共卫生事件下公众应急信息获取研究”(项目编号:2024自研-公管03)和四川大学中央高校基本科研业务费研究专项资助项目“突发自然灾害下社会应急协作网络运行机理与优化路径研究”(项目编号:2025 自研-公管14)的研究成果之一。

Identification and Correlation Analysis of Key Influencing Factors of Emergency Intelligence Services Under the "Data Element ×" Effect

  • Wang Yuxi ,
  • Shi Yungui ,
  • Yu Xingshang ,
  • Xu Zhongyang
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  • 1School of Public Administration, Sichuan University, Chengdu, 610065; 2School of Public Administration, Zhejiang University of Finance & Economics, Hangzhou, 310018; 3School of Information Management, Nanjing University, Jiangsu, 210023; 4Data Intelligence and Cross-Disciplinary Innovation Laboratory, Nanjing University, Jiangsu, 210023)

Online published: 2026-05-15

摘要

[目的/意义]探索应急情报服务的关键影响因素,厘清因素之间的层级关系和关联路径,以期为提升政府应急管理效能提供理论参考和实践指导。[方法/过程]以WSR系统方法论为基础,从物理、事理和人理三个维度构建应急情报服务影响因素指标体系,通过模糊DANP方法解析各影响因素的相互关系及相对重要程度,识别出应急情报服务的关键影响因素,并利用ISM模型对影响因素进行层级划分和关联路径分析。[结果/结论]应急情报服务是表层、浅层、中层和根源因素共同作用的结果。其中,信息基础设施、安全保障机制、数字技术工具和政策法规体系是最根本的因素,数据规范体系、参与意愿、需求偏好、心理韧性和风险感知是最直接的因素。

本文引用格式

王羽西 , 史云贵 , 于兴尚 , 徐中阳 . “数据要素×”效应下应急情报服务关键影响因素识别与关联分析[J]. 情报资料工作, 2026 , 47(3) : 96 -103 . DOI: 10.12154/j.qbzlgz.2026.03.011

Abstract

[Purpose/significance] This research investigates the criticalfactors influencing emergency intelligence services to clarify their hierarchical structure and interrelated pathways. The ultimate goal is to offer both a theoretical foundation and actionable guidance for improving the efficacy of government emergency management. [Method/process] Based on the methodology of the WSR system, an index framework for the influencing factors of emergency intelligence services has been developed, encompassing three dimensions: Wuli, Shili, and Renli. Through the application of the fuzzy DANP methodology, this study elucidates the complex interrelationships and hierarchical significance among various influencing factors, ultimately pinpointing the key determinants in emergency intelligence service systems. Using the ISM framework, the influencing factors are stratified into a hierarchical structure, followed by a path-dependent correlation analysis to uncover their causal interlinkages. [Result/conclusion] The effectiveness of emergency intelligence services stems from the dynamic interaction of four hierarchical dimensions: surface phenomena, shallow-layer factors, mid-level systems, and foundational determinants. Among them, identifies information infrastructure, security mechanisms, digital technologies, and policy-regulatory frameworks as foundational determinants, whereas data standardization systems,participation willingness, demand preferences, psychological resilience, and risk perception constitute proximal influencing factors.
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